Physics

Geology

Last Glacial Maximum

Ice core

δ18O

Physical geography

Ice sheet

Oceanography

Ice-sheet model

Machine learning

Glacial period

Antarctic sea ice

Sea ice

Paleontology

Geography

Cryosphere

Stable isotope ratio

Proxy (statistics)

Computer science

Climatology

Quantum mechanics

Nature Communications

The evolution of past global ice sheets is highly uncertain. One example is the missing ice problem during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 26 000-19 000 years before present) – an apparent 8-28 m discrepancy between far-field sea level indicators and modelled sea level from ice sheet reconstructions. In the absence of ice sheet reconstructions, researchers often use marine δ 18 O proxy records to infer ice volume prior to the LGM. We present a global ice sheet reconstruction for the past 80 000 years, called PaleoMIST 1.0, constructed independently of far-field sea level and δ 18 O proxy records. Our reconstruction is compatible with LGM far-field sea-level records without requiring extra ice volume, thus solving the missing ice problem. However, for Marine Isotope Stage 3 (57 000-29 000 years before present) - a pre-LGM period - our reconstruction does not match proxy-based sea level reconstructions, indicating the relationship between marine δ 18 O and sea level may be more complex than assumed.

A new global ice sheet reconstruction for the past 80 000 years