Internal medicine

Observational study

Population

Meta-analysis

Financial economics

Political science

Economics

Randomized controlled trial

SABR volatility model

MEDLINE

Radiation therapy

Clinical trial

Medicine

Stochastic volatility

Volatility (finance)

Environmental health

JAMA Oncology

The oligometastatic paradigm postulates that patients with a limited number of metastases can be treated with ablative local therapy to each site of disease with curative intent. Stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) is a radiation technique that has become widely used in this setting. However, prospective data are limited and are mainly from single institutional studies.To conduct a meta-analysis to characterize the safety and clinical benefit of SABR in oligometastatic cancer.A comprehensive search was conducted in PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature on December 23, 2019, that included prospective clinical trials and review articles that were published within the past 15 years.Inclusion criteria were single-arm or multiarm prospective trials including patients with oligometastatic cancer (ie, ≤5 sites of extracranial disease), and SABR was administered in less than or equal to 8 fractions with greater than or equal to 5 Gy/fraction.The Population, Intervention, Control, Outcomes and Study Design; Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses; and Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology methods were used to identify eligible studies. Study eligibility and data extraction were reviewed by 3 authors independently. Random-effects meta-analyses using the Knapp-Hartung correction, arcsine transformation, and restricted maximum likelihood method were conducted.Safety (acute and late grade 3-5 toxic effects) and clinical benefit (1-year local control, 1-year overall survival, and 1-year progression-free survival).Twenty-one studies comprising 943 patients and 1290 oligometastases were included. Median age was 63.8 years (interquartile range, 59.6-66.1 years) and median follow-up was 16.9 months (interquartile range, 13.7-24.5 months). The most common primary sites were prostate (22.9%), colorectal (16.6%), breast (13.1%), and lung (12.8%). The estimate for acute grade 3 to 5 toxic effect rates under the random-effects models was 1.2% (95% CI, 0%-3.8%; I2 = 50%; 95% CI, 3%-74%; and τ = 0.20%; 95% CI, 0.00%-1.43%), and the estimate for late grade 3 to 5 toxic effects was 1.7% (95% CI, 0.2%-4.6%; I2 = 54%; 95% CI, 11%-76%; and τ = 0.25%; 0.01%-1.00%). The random-effects estimate for 1-year local control was 94.7% (95% CI, 88.6%-98.6%; I2 = 90%; 95% CI, 86%-94%; and τ = 0.81%; 95% CI, 0.36%-2.38%]). The estimate for 1-year overall survival was 85.4% (95% CI, 77.1%-92.0%; I2 = 82%; 95% CI, 71%-88%; and τ = 0.72%; 95% CI, 0.30%-2.09%) and 51.4% (95% CI, 42.7%-60.1%; I2 = 58%; 95% CI, 17%-78%; and τ = 0.20%; 95% CI, 0.02%-1.21%) for 1-year progression-free survival.In this meta-analysis, SABR appears to be relatively safe in patients with oligometastatic cancer with clinically acceptable rates of acute and late grade 3 to 5 toxic effects less than 13% and with clinically acceptable rates of 1-year local control overall survival, and progression-free survival. These findings are hypothesis generating and require validation by ongoing and planned prospective clinical trials.

Safety and Survival Rates Associated With Ablative Stereotactic Radiotherapy for Patients With Oligometastatic Cancer