Nowcasting and forecasting the care needs of the older population in China: analysis of data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS)

An ageing population coupled with an increase in morbidity places a considerable burden on health and social care systems. The aim of our study was to estimate the trends in functional dependency and project future care needs for older people in China.We analysed data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, a nationally representative survey of a cohort of Chinese people (aged ≥45 years) from 150 counties or districts and 450...