Predictive modelling

Context (archaeology)

2019-20 coronavirus outbreak

Philosophy

Health care

Biology

Support vector machine

Binary classification

Archaeology

Test set

Economics

Set (abstract data type)

Computer science

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)

Outbreak

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)

Paleontology

Test (biology)

Geography

Data set

Christian ministry

Infectious disease (medical specialty)

Data science

Artificial intelligence

Medicine

Programming language

Economic growth

Theology

Disease

Machine learning

Pathology

npj Digital Medicine

Effective screening of SARS-CoV-2 enables quick and efficient diagnosis of COVID-19 and can mitigate the burden on healthcare systems. Prediction models that combine several features to estimate the risk of infection have been developed. These aim to assist medical staff worldwide in triaging patients, especially in the context of limited healthcare resources. We established a machine-learning approach that trained on records from 51,831 tested individuals (of whom 4769 were confirmed to have COVID-19). The test set contained data from the subsequent week (47,401 tested individuals of whom 3624 were confirmed to have COVID-19). Our model predicted COVID-19 test results with high accuracy using only eight binary features: sex, age ≥60 years, known contact with an infected individual, and the appearance of five initial clinical symptoms. Overall, based on the nationwide data publicly reported by the Israeli Ministry of Health, we developed a model that detects COVID-19 cases by simple features accessed by asking basic questions. Our framework can be used, among other considerations, to prioritize testing for COVID-19 when testing resources are limited.

Machine learning-based prediction of COVID-19 diagnosis based on symptoms