Many Labs 5: Registered Multisite Replication of the Tempting-Fate Effects in Risen and Gilovich (2008):

Published on Nov 13, 2020
· DOI :10.1177/2515245918785165
Maya B. Mathur18
Estimated H-index: 18
(Stanford University),
Diane-Jo Bart-Plange2
Estimated H-index: 2
(UVA: University of Virginia)
+ 38 AuthorsAlan Jern10
Estimated H-index: 10
(RHIT: Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology)
Risen and Gilovich (2008) found that subjects believed that “tempting fate” would be punished with ironic bad outcomes (a main effect), and that this effect was magnified when subjects were under c...
Increasingly, researchers are attempting to replicate published original studies by using large, multisite replication projects, at least 134 of which have been completed or are on going. These designs are promising to assess whether the original study is statistically consistent with the replications and to reassess the strength of evidence for the scientific effect of interest. However, existing analyses generally focus on single replications; when applied to multisite designs, they provide an...
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#1Jane L. Risen (U of C: University of Chicago)H-Index: 17
#2Thomas Gilovich (Cornell University)H-Index: 74
The present research explored the belief that it is bad luck to “tempt fate.” Studies 1 and 2 demonstrated that people do indeed have the intuition that actions that tempt fate increase the likelihood of negative outcomes. Studies 3–6 examined our claim that the intuition is due, in large part, to the combination of the automatic tendencies to attend to negative prospects and to use accessibility as a cue when judging likelihood. Study 3 demonstrated that negative outcomes are more accessible fo...
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