A SCALE FOR ASSESSING PROBABILISTIC THINKING AND THE REPRESENTATIVENESS TENDENCY

We report a study of children's probability conceptions and misconceptions using a diagnostic instrument developed from the literature on the representativeness heuristic. Rasch measurement methodology was used to develop the 13-item open response instrument with a sample (n=116) of 12-15 year olds. The result is that a hierarchy of responses at two levels is confirmed for this sample, and a third level is hypothesised. Each level is...