Expert Judgment versus Statistical Models: Explanation versus Prediction
Abstract
One of my favorite political scientists (and mentors in graduate school) defined a great idea as one he would have liked to have had himself. The Supreme Court Forecasting Project is a great idea, one I wish I had hatched. It is such a good idea that it is a little surprising no one had attempted it earlier. I commend this team and urge them, as I shall say in more detail later, to continue, expand, and perhaps redirect this undertaking. That...
Paper Details
Title
Expert Judgment versus Statistical Models: Explanation versus Prediction
Published Date
Dec 1, 2004
Journal
Volume
2
Issue
04
Pages
777 - 780
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