Robert S. Erikson
Columbia University
Positive economicsErikson's stages of psychosocial developmentPublic opinionPolitical economyEconometricsIdeologyEconomicsMacroPolitical sciencePresidential systemLawEconomic indicatorPresidential electionState (polity)PolityPublic administrationPublic relationsVotingDemocracyPolitics
157Publications
49H-index
8,293Citations
Publications 145
Newest
#1Robert S. Erikson (Columbia University)H-Index: 49
This paper discusses the contribution of the American National Election Studies (ANES) data to the understanding of macro-level election analysis. The paper reviews the theory of the micro–macro connection and presents two brief examples where ANES data are used to explain macro-level variation in election outcomes. It argues that the ANES — indeed, most election studies — as currently constituted are quite useful for the purposes of explaining election outcomes. However, with proper attention t...
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#1Robert S. Erikson (Columbia University)H-Index: 49
#2Mikhail Filippov (WashU: Washington University in St. Louis)H-Index: 12
The major premise of this study is that in federal countries voters can balance and moderate national policy by dividing electoral support between different parties in federal and sub-national elections. We compare the non-concurrent federal and provincial elections in Canada to assess the balancing properties of sub-national elections. The balancing hypothesis implies that the federal incumbent party may suffer additional electoral losses in provincial elections. We use several statistical test...
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#1Robert S. Erikson (Columbia University)H-Index: 49
#2Joseph Bafumi (Columbia University)H-Index: 15
Last. Bret Wilson (USMA: United States Military Academy)H-Index: 2
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n late August 2000, at APSA's Annual Meeting, a panel of political scientists offered forecasts for the 2000 presidential election. Although they differed in particulars, most of the forecasters' models incorporated a measure of economic growth plus the president's approval rating. Because the economy was prospering and President Clinton enjoyed phenomenal approval numbers for the eighth year of office, the consensus prediction was a Democratic (Gore) victory by upwards of 6 percentage points. A...
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Although scholars debate the influence of election campaigns on electoral decision making, they agree that campaigns do have effects. Empirically identifying the effects of the campaign is not straightforward, however. We simply do not have regular readings of voter preferences over the election cycle, and the readings we do have are imperfect. Clearly then, an important question is, Can we actually detect the effects of election campaigns? In this article, the authors consider the practice of i...
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The year 2000 presidential election was a unique historical event. With a very close popular vote, the outcome depended on Florida, where, whichever way the votes were counted, the outcome was the closest state election in memory, closer than if Florida voters were deciding by flipping fair coins.' Although Al Gore won the national popular vote, George W. Bush eventually won the contested Electoral College verdict with help from the U.S. Supreme Court. Continuing the Political Science Quarterly ...
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#1Robert S. EriksonH-Index: 49
#2Michael B. MackuenH-Index: 23
Last. James A. StimsonH-Index: 28
view all 3 authors...
List of figures and tables Preface Acknowledgements 1. A model of the macro polity Part I. Performance: 2. Presidential approval 3. Presidential approval, the economy, and the future 4. Macro partisanship: the permanent memory of party performance 5. The group composition of macropartisan trends Part II. Policy: 6. Public opinion 7. Elections 8. Public opinion and policy-making 9. A governing system: laws and public opinion Part III. American Politics as a System: 10. The macropolitical system 1...
#1Robert S. EriksonH-Index: 49
#2Michael B. MackuenH-Index: 23
Last. James A. StimsonH-Index: 28
view all 3 authors...
Source
#1Robert S. EriksonH-Index: 49
#2Michael B. MackuenH-Index: 23
Last. James A. StimsonH-Index: 28
view all 3 authors...
Source
#1Robert S. EriksonH-Index: 49
#2Michael B. MackuenH-Index: 23
Last. James A. StimsonH-Index: 28
view all 3 authors...
Source
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