Ecology

Biology

Statistics

Extrapolation

Soil water

Interspecific competition

Organic chemistry

Toxicity

Mathematics

Threshold limit value

Environmental chemistry

Environmental science

Ecotoxicity

Soil science

Chemistry

Leaching (pedology)

Journal of Hazardous Materials

Derivation of ecological risk threshold (the threshold concentration value that protect a certain proportion of species within the acceptable hazard level) of lead (Pb) is a yardstick and plays a key role in formulating soil protection policies, while the research about deducing soil Pb ecological risk threshold is still limited. In this study, toxicological data of Pb based on 30 different test endpoints was collected from our experiment and literature, and applied into interspecific extrapolation by species sensitivity distribution (SSD) method to derive the hazard concentration for 5% of species (HC5, that can protect 95% of species), the prediction models according to different soil properties were established. The results showed that EC10 (the effective concentrations of Pb that inhibit 10% of endpoint bioactivity) ranged from 205.6 to 1596.3 mg kg1, and hormesis induced by Pb were up to 118%. Toxicity data were corrected by leaching and aging process before SSD curves fitting. HC5 was then derived and prediction model was developed, as LogHC5 = 0.134 pH + 0.315 LogOC + 0.324 LogCEC + 1.077. The prediction model was well verified in the field test, indicating that can correctly estimate Pb ecotoxicity thresholds in different soils. This study provides a scientific frame for deriving the ecological risk threshold of Pb and is of great significance for ecological species protection.

Ecological risk threshold for Pb in Chinese soils