Business

Disease

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)

Pandemic

Marketing

2019-20 coronavirus outbreak

Supply chain

Supply and demand

Economics

Coronavirus

Medicine

Production (economics)

Thermodynamics

Resilience (materials science)

Infectious disease (medical specialty)

Psychotherapist

Outbreak

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)

Psychology

Virology

Microeconomics

Physics

Psychological resilience

Pathology

International Journal of Integrated Supply Management

Firms have learned how to strengthen the resilience of their global supply chains (SC) to confront disruptions triggered by severe disasters. However, a new instigator of SC disruption, quite unlike any seen in recent times, has now emerged – the COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 virus. We model the ripple effect of an epidemic outbreak in global SCs considering the velocity of pandemic propagation, the duration of production, distribution and market disruption, and a demand decline. We analyse pandemic supply risk mitigation measures and potential recovery paths. Implications for future research and global SC (re)-designs are also discussed.

Coronavirus (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2) and supply chain resilience: a research note