Alternative fuels

Fuel efficiency

Quantum mechanics

Engineering

Ecology

Biology

Environmental economics

Microeconomics

Sustainability

Fuel cells

Miles per gallon gasoline equivalent

Economics

Power (physics)

Electric vehicle

Chemical engineering

Green vehicle

Diesel fuel

Business

Competition (biology)

Hydrogen

Physics

Greenhouse gas

Organic chemistry

Preference

Conjoint analysis

Alternative fuel vehicle

Sustainable transport

Hydrogen vehicle

Automotive engineering

Hydrogen fuel

Chemistry

Electricity

Electrical engineering

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Whereas the paradigm shift in the transportation sector caused by climate change previously put electric vehicles (EVs) at the center, hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (HFCVs) have recently emerged as a new driver for change. From an environmental perspective, EVs might not represent an effective alternative to traditional vehicles because their emissions potential depends on how the electricity is produced. HFCVs also have the potential to cause GHG emissions, depending on how the hydrogen is produced. This study considers EVs and HFCVs to be eco-friendly alternatives, and analyzes consumer preferences for the vehicles and their environmental effects, taking into account future competition within the automobile market. For analysis, we divided consumers into drivers and non-drivers and used a conjoint survey and mixed multiple discrete-continuous extreme value model. Our results indicate that both drivers and non-drivers preferred EVs over HFCVs in terms of choice, but the preference structure differed between the driver and non-driver groups in terms of usage levels. To examine the potential environmental effects of EVs and HFCVs, we conducted a scenario analysis. The results will serve as base research material for formulating HFCV-related policies in the light of the probable future outcomes of competition between EVs and HFCVs.

Can hydrogen fuel vehicles be a sustainable alternative on vehicle market?: Comparison of electric and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles