Forestry

Pure mathematics

Statistics

Time series

Dimension (graph theory)

Pastoralism

Economics

Geology

Paleontology

Psychology

Mathematics

Geography

Political science

Criminology

Sociology

Series (stratigraphy)

Livestock

Political Geography

Among peace researchers and practitioners, it is generally accepted that efforts to prevent violence can be instrumental in its mitigation. So, it was distressing to read the research findings of null Meier, Bond, and Bond (2007) null that mitigation was null positively null related to organized raids in the Horn of Africa where there is pastoralist–pastoralist and pastoralist–agriculturalist violence. This article seeks to build on their research. It uses a ‘de-trending’ approach for time-series analysis that is commonly used in economics and financial studies. It reports an opposite statistically significant finding. When the data used by Meier et al. are de-trended, violence associated with organized raids is null negatively null correlated with mitigation. This negative correlation is similar when data on mitigation and organized raids are de-trended with null time null as a predictor, on the one hand, and with null seasonality null over time as a predictor, on the other. Implications regarding the temporal dimension of peace research and practice are presented.

The efficacy of violence mitigation: A second look using time-series analysis