Electoral College bias and the 2020 presidential election
Volume: 117, Issue: 45, Pages: 27940 - 27944
Published: Oct 26, 2020
Abstract
Significance Donald Trump's 2016 victory in the Electoral College without leading in the popular vote has led to speculation of a repeat in 2020. If the Democrats were to win the popular vote but by less than a landslide, could they be thwarted from stopping Trump once again? We examine how Electoral College outcomes are conditioned by how states had voted in previous elections. Our simulations suggest that in 2020, the Electoral College bias is...
Paper Details
Title
Electoral College bias and the 2020 presidential election
Published Date
Oct 26, 2020
Volume
117
Issue
45
Pages
27940 - 27944
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