Agriculture

Erosion

Geology

Philosophy

Paleontology

Soil science

Soil water

Organic chemistry

Chemistry

Geotechnical engineering

Ecology

Economic shortage

Government (linguistics)

Fertilizer

Environmental science

Linguistics

Surface runoff

Phosphorus

Agronomy

Hydrology (agriculture)

Biology

Nature Communications

Soil phosphorus (P) loss from agricultural systems will limit food and feed production in the future. Here, we combine spatially distributed global soil erosion estimates (only considering sheet and rill erosion by water) with spatially distributed global P content for cropland soils to assess global soil P loss. The world’s soils are currently being depleted in P in spite of high chemical fertilizer input. Africa (not being able to afford the high costs of chemical fertilizer) as well as South America (due to non-efficient organic P management) and Eastern Europe (for a combination of the two previous reasons) have the highest P depletion rates. In a future world, with an assumed absolute shortage of mineral P fertilizer, agricultural soils worldwide will be depleted by between 4–19 kg ha −1 yr −1 , with average losses of P due to erosion by water contributing over 50% of total P losses.

Global phosphorus shortage will be aggravated by soil erosion