Finance

Environmental resource management

Soil conservation

Agriculture

Erosion

Engineering

Climate change

Business

Civil engineering

Paleontology

Soil science

Soil water

Economics

Archaeology

Natural resource economics

Work (physics)

Ecology

Global change

Geography

Environmental science

Land use

Climate change mitigation

Environmental protection

General partnership

Mechanical engineering

Biology

Environmental planning

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Significance We use the latest projections of climate and land use change to assess potential global soil erosion rates by water to address policy questions; working toward the goals of the United Nations working groups under the Inter-Governmental Technical Panel on Soils of the Global Soil Partnership. This effort will enable policy makers to explore erosion extent, identify possible hotspots, and work with stakeholders to mitigate impacts. In addition, we provide insight into the potential mitigating effects attributable to conservation agriculture and the need for more effective policy instruments for soil protection. Scientifically, the modeling framework presented adopts a series of methodological advances and standardized data to communicate with adjacent disciplines and move toward robust, reproducible, and open data science.

Land use and climate change impacts on global soil erosion by water (2015-2070)