Seasonality

Geology

Meteorology

Demography

Disease

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)

Biology

Climatology

Humidity

Geography

Latitude

Sociology

Environmental science

Medicine

Geodesy

Population

Infectious disease (medical specialty)

Outbreak

Environmental health

Virology

Ecology

Pathology

SSRN Electronic Journal

Background: A significant number of infectious diseases display seasonal patterns in their incidence, including human coronaviruses. Betacoronaviruses such as MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV are not thought to be seasonal. Methods: We examined climate data from cities with significant community spread of COVID-19 using ERA-5 reanalysis, and compared to areas that are either not affected, or do not have significant community spread.Findings: To date, Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by SARS-CoV-2, has established significant community spread in cities and regions along a narrow east west distribution roughly along the 30-50o N' corridor at consistently similar weather patterns consisting of average temperatures of 5-11oC, combined with low specific (3-6 g/kg) and absolute humidity (4-7 g/m3). There has been a lack of significant community establishment in expected locations that are based only on population proximity and extensive population interaction through travel. Interpretation: The distribution of sign...

Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19