Expert biases in technology foresight. Why they are a problem and how to mitigate them

The paper addresses an issue largely discussed in the field of Forecasting and in many future-oriented scientific and professional disciplines, but less frequently considered in the Foresight literature, particularly in the technology foresight field- i.e. the extent to which biases of human experts influence the foresight process. The paper reviews the literature on cognitive biases and identifies the main areas of technology foresight in which...