La Lógica Difusa para la evaluación económica y financiera de opciones cambiarias: El caso de la producción acuícola

Published on Jun 15, 2016
Manuel Muñoz Palma2
Estimated H-index: 2
(Universidad de Sonora),
Ezequiel Avilés Ochoa3
Estimated H-index: 3
,
Eva Luz Miranda Espinoza1
Estimated H-index: 1
(Universidad de Sonora)
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Abstract
El articulo presenta, mediante la aplicacion de las teorias de la administracion, finanzas y economia, una propuesta para la evaluacion economica y financiera con la aplicacion de la logica difusa; cuyo objetivo es disenar estrategias financieras que permitan que las organizaciones acuicolas del sur de Sonora puedan establecer un sistema de control y evaluacion del riesgo financiero, por medio de instrumentos de cobertura, cuya finalidad es minimizar el riesgo e incrementar los indices de rentabilidad . Se realiza el analisis sobre tecnicas clasicas para la evaluacion economica y financiera del valor presente neto (vpn) y la tasa interna de rendimiento (tir); agregando los componentes teoricos de la logica difusa, mediante los numeros borrosos triangulares se propone la fuzzificacion de la tasa de interes bajo distintos escenarios para su evaluacion (0,1) que representa distintos niveles de presuncion bajo los cuales se puede establecer, un indicador financiero que permita la toma de decisiones; la cual se pueda aproximar para medir la rentabilidad y la viabilidad de una inversion, con financiamiento en pesos y dolares.
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