Congressional Elections in Presidential Years: Presidential Coattails and Strategic Voting
Abstract
This article analyzes voting for Congress in presidential election years. The national Democratic vote for the House increases with the Democratic vote for president but decreases with the Democrats' perceived chances of winning the presidency (anticipatory balancing). The evidence for coattails and for balancing become visible only when statistically controlling for the other. The aggregate evidence for coattails and balancing in presidential...
Paper Details
Title
Congressional Elections in Presidential Years: Presidential Coattails and Strategic Voting
Published Date
May 24, 2016
Volume
41
Issue
3
Pages
551 - 574
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