Improving the way we think about projecting future energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide

Volume: 90, Issue: 3, Pages: 189 - 215
Published: Aug 29, 2008
Abstract
A variety of decision makers need projections of future energy demand, CO2 emissions and similar factors that extend many decades into the future. The past performance of such projections has been systematically overconfident. Analysts have often used scenarios based on detailed story lines that spell out plausible alternative futures as a central tool for evaluating uncertainty. No probabilities are typically assigned to such scenarios. We...
Paper Details
Title
Improving the way we think about projecting future energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide
Published Date
Aug 29, 2008
Volume
90
Issue
3
Pages
189 - 215
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