Before the vote: forecasting American national elections

PART ONE: INTRODUCTION Forecasting US National Elections - James E Campbell and James C Garand PART TWO: FORECASTS OF THE 1996 AMERICAN NATIONAL ELECTIONS Polls and Votes - James E Campbell The Trial-Heat Presidential Election Forecasting Model, Certainty, and Political Campaigns Bill and Al's Excellent Adventure - Alan Abramowitz Forecasting the 1996 Presidential Election Of Time and Candidates - Helmut Norpoth A Forecast for 1996 The Future in...