Christopher E. Penney
University of Iowa
GovernmentPolitical sciencePresidential systemControl (management)Patient Protection and Affordable Care ActStatus quoNuclear optionPublic administrationDemocracyPolitics
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Using the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM), this article assesses the political impact of several important events during the fall of 2013: the US government shutdown, the Senate elimination of filibusters for presidential nominations (i.e., the “nuclear option”), and the implementation of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (i.e., ObamaCare). Did these events have meaningful effects on congressional control prospects in the 2014 election? According to IEM price changes, Republican chanc...
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