Robert S. Erikson
Columbia University
Positive economicsErikson's stages of psychosocial developmentPublic opinionPolitical economyEconometricsIdeologyEconomicsMacroPolitical sciencePresidential systemLawEconomic indicatorPresidential electionState (polity)PolityPublic administrationPublic relationsVotingDemocracyPolitics
157Publications
49H-index
8,293Citations
Publications 145
Newest
#1Robert S. Erikson (Columbia University)H-Index: 49
#2Yair GhitzaH-Index: 3
Legislative scholars recognize that legislative output is affected by the legislature’s institutional design. Let us assume that the goals are to avoid chaos and to enhance welfare. Toward these goals there are many variations. Strong committees (Shepsle and Weingast 1987), strong ruling parties (Cox and McCubbins 2004), institutions fostering legislative exchange (Weingast and Marshall 1988) and a strong agenda setter (Dahm and Glazer 2015) all can contribute to the interests a legislature’s me...
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#1Robert S. EriksonH-Index: 49
#2Kent L. TedinH-Index: 20
List of Figures and Tables Preface Credits for Figures and Tables CHAPTER 1 Public Opinion in Democratic Societies 1-1 Public Opinion and Government 1-2 Public Opinion Defined 1-3 The Evolution of the Public Opinion Poll 1-4 The Modern Public Opinion Poll and Its Political Consequences 1-5 Sources of Information on Public Opinion 1-6 Linkage Models Between Public Opinion and Public Policies 1-7 Plan of This Book CHAPTER 2 Polling: The Scientific Assessment of Public Opinion 2-1 Sampling 2-2 Ques...
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#1Robert S. Erikson (Research Institute of Industrial Economics)H-Index: 49
#2Olle Folke (Research Institute of Industrial Economics)H-Index: 13
Last. James M. Snyder (Harvard University)H-Index: 62
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It is commonly argued in the media that a presidential candidate will be helped in a state by having a governor of the same party in office. However, there is little research to support this claim. To address this question we use a regression discontinuity design. The basic idea behind this is that in very close elections the party of the governor is decided essentially by a coin flip. Focusing on these very close elections therefore allows us to estimate the causal effect of gubernatorial party...
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The random assignment of judges in the US Appellate Courts has been underutilized in the study of court panel effects. The present study treats case assignment in the US Appellate Courts as a natural experiment, testing for panel effects of female judges in Title VII sex discrimination cases, comparing the votes of male fellow-panelists when the treatment judge is a female with the votes of fellow-panelists of the control judges who are male and of the same party as the female judge. All compari...
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#1Robert S. Erikson (Columbia University)H-Index: 49
#2Rocío Titiunik (UM: University of Michigan)H-Index: 22
We study the conditions under which a regression discontinuity (RD) design can be used to recover the personal incumbency advantage, a quantity that has long been of interest to political scientists. We offer an expanded interpretation of the RD design that allows us to back out unbiased estimates of this quantity by focusing on open seats — elections with no incumbent running. Our focus on open seats avoids including in the personal incumbency advantage estimate the spurious advantage that stem...
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The growing concern about economic inequality leads to a similar concern about political inequality. This article explores the seeming contradiction between the literature pointing to inequality in political representation in the United States and the literature showing that public policy does tend to represent public opinion in general. Low-income voters are much less likely to vote or to be politically knowledgeable than high-income voters, which limits their influence and creates an upper-inc...
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#1James E. Campbell (UB: University at Buffalo)H-Index: 26
#2Alan I. Abramowitz (Emory University)H-Index: 44
Last. John Sides (GW: George Washington University)H-Index: 23
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Author(s): Campbell, James E; Abramowitz, Alan I; Bafumi, Joseph; Erikson, Robert S; Wlezien, Christopher; Lewis-Beck, Michael S; Tien, Charles; Highton, Benjamin; McGhee, Eric; Sides, John
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#1Robert S. Erikson (Columbia University)H-Index: 49
#2Pablo M. Pinto (Columbia University)H-Index: 12
Last. Kelly Rader (Yale University)H-Index: 7
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We explore problems with the use of dyadic data in international relations. We illustrate these problems by analyzing a central proposition among IR scholars that democracies seek out other democracies as trading partners. Our main contribution is to present randomization tests to infer the correct p-values associated with the trade hypotheses. Our results show that typical statistical tests for significance are severely overconfident in dyadic data. Second, we show that democratic trade can be ...
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This article presents a forecast of the 2014 midterm House election based on information available four to six months in advance. The approach builds on our forecasts of the 2006 (Bafumi, Erikson, and Wlezien 2008) and 2010 (Bafumi, Erikson, and Wlezien 2010a,b) midterm elections.1 We incorporate information about the national forces at work in the election, which are evident early in the election year from generic congressional polls plus the party of the president. We also incorporate informat...
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#1Robert S. Erikson (Columbia University)H-Index: 49
#2Christopher Wlezien (University of Texas at Austin)H-Index: 45
It commonly is said that presidential elections are determined by the fundamentals, and that the campaign brings these fundamentals to the voters (especially see Gelman and King 1993). But what exactly does this mean? As we describe in The Timeline of Presidential Elections (Erikson and Wlezien 2012a), the fundamentals come in two varieties: internal and external. Internal fundamentals are part of the voter’s political predispositions. The campaign reinforces the voter’s party identifi cation, i...
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